Showing posts with label Emanuel Derman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Emanuel Derman. Show all posts

Saturday, January 31, 2009

Quants and Qualts

Brant and Walt are discussing, simplistically, the causes of current economic woes.

...

Brant: Finance is run by quants, people from a maths-physics background.

Walt: Like you.

Brant: That’s my point. It’s time to be humble. We thought we could apply the laws of physics to markets and expect them to behave. Produce predictable outcomes.

Walt: But economics isn’t just about resources. The world is full of people. Trying to use maths to predict human behavior will end in tears.

Brant: Human confidence, human fear, that’s what took us up and took us down. We need models, but we need to include the qualitative as well as the quantitative.

Walt: A role for quants and, dare I say it, qualts, as well?

_______________

Voice-over

Quants, those who follow a numbers approach. Qualts? Someone trained in the human sciences?

 

Some quants, like Emanuel Derman, are beginning to suggest both approaches are needed.

...