Showing posts with label gray rhino. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gray rhino. Show all posts

Saturday, June 13, 2020

Black Swan or Gray Rhino?

Economists ponder over pancakes…

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Jocasta: Was the coronavirus a black swan?

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Basil: Some say no. Michele Wucker says it was a gray rhino.

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Jocasta: Gray Rhino?

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Basil: A probable but neglected crisis with a big impact. Not unexpected. The Greek debt crisis. The coronavirus. Warnings had been sounded.

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Jocasta: So what other gray rhinos are lurking?

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Basil: Plenty. Think personal. Illness or accident. At home, a break-in or rodents.

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Jocasta: Yeah. Societal, too. Economic depression and currency collapse. Pandemic, and closed borders. War and terrorism. Earthquake and tsunami.

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Basil: So think, be prepared. Insurance, rat traps.

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Jocasta: Or savings, alternative currencies, gold, even. And higher ground.

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Voice-over

Michele Wucker distinguishes between a black swan which is entirely unexpected and sets off pandemonium, and a visible gray rhino which, when it charges, causes chaos.

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